Investment insight on the bakken landscape

     Bakken Stocks

 

 


Jun
30

The Bakken Fund

Posted by bakkenexpert

The latest update on the Bakken Fund is below.    For the FAQ,  scroll to the bottom of the page

The Bakken Fund is constructed as an index fund of 10 stocks with Bakken exposure. Each stock gets a 10% weighting (total 100%) regardless of market cap. We have included micro caps, small caps, mid caps and large caps in the Bakken Fund to give diverse exposure to both risk and the Bakken region. After extremely solid years in 2009 (180% gain) and 2010 (64% gain) we have pulled into positive territory for the year (as of 6/30/11) with a 5.28% gain.   Given the roller coaster ride the economy has seen this year,  we don’t expect the fund to sit still through the remainder of the year.     We expect Bakken plays to end the year on an up note and outperform non-Bakken plays.    Many of the pure plays are off 30% from their 2011 highs and could bounce in the short term.


BAKKEN FUND 2008   RETURN: -43.34%  
         
Company Symbol Price 1/1 Price 12/31 Return
Brigham Exploration BEXP 7.3 3.13 -57.12%
Continental Resources CLR 26.13 20.71 -20.74%
Whiting Oil & Gas WLL 28.83 16.73 -41.97%
Northern Oil & Gas NOG 6.95 2.6 -62.59%
Kodiak Oil & Gas KOG 2.2 0.31 -85.91%
MDU Resources MDU 24.86 19.87 -20.07%
EOG Resources EOG 87.3 65.44 -25.04%
NewField Exploration NFX 52.7 19.75 -62.52%
GEO Resources GEOI 9 8.69 -3.44%
Marathon Oil MRO 55.21 25.41 -53.98%
Total -43.34%
BAKKEN FUND 2009   RETURN: 180.49%  
         
Company Symbol Price 1/1 Price 12/31 Return
Brigham Exploration BEXP 3.13 13.55 332.91%
Continental Resources CLR 20.71 42.89 107.10%
Whiting Oil & Gas WLL 16.73 35.72 113.51%
Northern Oil & Gas NOG 2.6 11.84 355.38%
Kodiak Oil & Gas KOG 0.31 2.22 616.13%
MDU Resources MDU 19.87 22.51 13.29%
EOG Resources EOG 65.44 96.42 47.34%
NewField Exploration NFX 19.75 48.23 144.20%
GEO Resources GEOI 8.69 13.66 57.19%
Marathon Oil MRO 25.41 29.94 17.83%
Total 180.49%
BAKKEN FUND 2010   RETURN 64.72%  
         
Company Symbol Price 1/1 Price 12/31 Return
Brigham Exploration BEXP 13.55 27.24 101.03%
Continental Resources CLR 42.89 58.85 37.21%
Whiting Oil & Gas WLL 35.72 58.6 64.05%
Northern Oil & Gas NOG 11.84 27.21 129.81%
Kodiak Oil & Gas KOG 2.22 6.6 197.30%
MDU Resources MDU 22.51 19.97 -11.28%
EOG Resources EOG 96.42 91.13 -5.49%
NewField Exploration NFX 48.23 72.11 49.51%
GEO Resources GEOI 13.66 22.21 62.59%
Marathon Oil MRO 29.94 36.65 22.41%
Total 64.72%
BAKKEN FUND 2011   RETURN +5.28%  
(Through 6/30/11)        
Company Symbol Price 1/1 Price 6/30 Return
Brigham Exploration BEXP 27.24 29.93 9.88%
Continental Resources CLR 58.85 64.91 10.30%
Whiting Oil & Gas WLL 58.6 56.91 -2.88%
Northern Oil & Gas NOG 27.21 22.15 -18.60%
Kodiak Oil & Gas KOG 6.6 5.77 -12.58%
MDU Resources MDU 19.97 22.5 12.67%
EOG Resources EOG 91.13 104.55 14.73%
NewField Exploration NFX 72.11 68.02 -5.67%
GEO Resources GEOI 22.21 22.49 1.26%
Marathon Oil MRO 36.65 52.68 43.74%
Total 5.28%

________________________________________________

The Bakken Fund FAQ

Question: What is the ticker symbol for the Bakken Fund and how can I invest?

Answer: Unfortunately, The Bakken Fund is a “virtual” fund and you cannot currently invest. We’ll let our readers know if an investment firm starts something similar

________________________________________________

Question: Which companies are included in the Bakken Fund?

Answer: We concentrate on publicly traded companies that have significant exposure in the Bakken Region/Williston Basin.

Question: What investment strategy do you use for the Bakken Fund?

________________________________________________

Answer: We do not trade in and out of the Bakken Fund, it is simply an index fund with 10 constituents

________________________________________________

Question: Why do you not include canadian companies in your fund?

Answer: We currently do not include canadian companies due to limitations with tracking Canadian companies. We will consider Canadian companies as soon as it is possible to do so.

________________________________________________

Question: What kind of returns are you expecting with the Bakken Fund?

Answer: We believe the Bakken Fund will outperform other Oil & Gas funds over the next 10 years due to the explosive growth in the Bakken region. Its a simple thesis, but more wells, a greater boepd and advances in drilling will ultimately lead to more production and revenue for companies operating in the Bakken region vs their non-Bakken counterparts. Our target for 2011 is 15% but it is impossible to predict whether the index will meet this objective.

Related posts

Feb
01

Weekly Roundup

Posted by bakken

Bakken plays continue to be on fire with oil reaching monthly highs due to unrest in Egypt and Tunisia and a risk of civil unrest spreading to other countries. Despite the fact Egypt is not a major oil producer, the fact that 8% of the worlds oil passes through the Suez Canal in Egypt is what is rattling oil markets. Oil will continue to push higher as tensions escalate in the region. Similarly, if Mubarak steps down and the crisis dissipates, we could easily see a 5-10% drop in oil.     Below are some tidbits from the Bakken:

  • As we predicted a few months ago,  some lawmakers are stirring up some concerns that the use of diesel during the fracking process is a violation of the Safe Water Drinking Act.   The diesel fuel was used by drillers during  hydraulic fracking, where  water, sand and chemicals  such as diesel fuel are injected under high pressure into rock formations deep underground. The link article to the NY Times article is here
  • ONEOK Partners LP will invest another up to $305 million into its already significant stake in the Bakken Shale over the next 3 years, the Tulsa-based natural gas and natural gas liquids mover and processor announced.   ONEOK (OKE: 48.19 -2.33%) has hit 52 week highs around $59 in recent days.
  • Our stocks to watch in 2011,  Brigham Exploration and Continental Resources are both up more than 10% in the last 5 trading days.    Brigham recently had positive news on Q4 production coming in at almost 11,400 boe/d with 80% of that volume being crude.   In addtion,  Jefferies came out on 1/28 increasing its price target from $32 to $48 as a result of accelerating production and Brigham’s proven reserves of 1 tcfe.
  • Hess looks to increase their production in 2011 by ramping up additional wells.    Hess, currently has 18 wells in the Bakken, produced an average 15,000 barrels of crude per day and is looking to finish the year north of  20,000 barrels per day.
  • U.S. Energy (USEG: 1.81 -4.74%) a 166 Million dollar micro-expects to spud approximately 40 gross and 13 net wells with capital expenditures of approximately $45.7 million in its 2011 oil and gas drilling program.   The Company has allocated an estimated $33.2 million to be spent in the Williston Basin region.

Till next time

Related posts

Powered By Wordpress - Theme Provided By Free Wordpress Templates - Auto Loans