Investment insight on the bakken landscape

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Feb
27

Bakken strategy

Posted by bakkenexpert

It seems that oil has bottomed and in some strange way may actually turn out to be a flight to quality amidst the financial turmoil that has overwhelmed the markets.   We see that XLE has massive support at 40 and oil is currently rangebound between 30 and 40.     Gas at the pump bottomed around 1.60 and 1.70 and now is climbing back above $2 in many parts of the country.   Our Bakken plays have also been quite rangebound with most in a 10% trading range.    The pure plays are off about 80% from their highs and downside from here is another 20% from current levels unless we enter a full on recession.  I am still content going long WLL or  CLR and selling monthly out of the money calls to hedge my trade.  This way I can earn 5%+ per month regardless of what the stock does by selling these calls.   Of course,  if these stocks are cut in half due to futher deterioration,  it will take a while to get your money back!   Good luck

Symbol Last Trade P/E Pct from Yr High Short Ratio
NOG Feb 26 2.73 N/A Down 83.35% 11.1
WLL Feb 26 23.75 4.00 Down 78.87% 1.6
SM Feb 26 13.46 9.28 Down 79.48% 4
MDU Feb 26 15.16 9.51 Down 57.10% 1.3
GEOI Feb 26 6.19 4.77 Down 78.71% 12.7
BSIC.OB Feb 26 0.61 7.92 Down 79.93% N/A
WSEG.OB Feb 26 0.0330 N/A N/A% -
CLR Feb 26 17.31 7.83 Down 79.35% 3.9
BEXP Feb 26 1.33 3.05 Down 92.73% 5.1
KDKN.OB Feb 26 0.37 N/A Down 89.97% -
KOG Feb 26 0.2506 N/A Down 95.44% 3
EOG Feb 26 51.41 5.29 Down 64.54% 1.3

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